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CHINA ECONOMIC FACTS
Last
updated 08 November, 2007
Latest Development
- In
the first nine months of 2006, the economy grew
by 9.4%.
- Fixed
assets investment increased by 29.4% in September,
resulting in an average growth of 27.7% for the
first nine months of 2006.
- China
reformed its exchange rate regime and re-valued
the RMB exchange rate against the US dollar to
8.11 on 21 July 2006.
- In
2004, China's external trade reached US$1,155
billion, ranked the third in the global economy,
up from the fourth in 2005.
- The
average import tariff was further reduced to 9.9%
in 2006 from 10.4% in 2004.
Current
Economic Development
With
the policy objective of maintaining a stable growth,
the central government has taken stabilization measures
aiming to moderate investment growth. Besides raising
the deposit reserve requirement ratio for banks,
rectifying the land market and consolidating targeted
types of investment projects, the People's Bank
of China (PBOC) also raised the lending and deposit
rates on 29 October 2004. One year lending rate
was increased from 5.31% to 5.58%. As a result of
the tightening measures, the growth of real GDP
slowed down in the second half of 2004, resulting
in a 9.5% growth for the whole year. In the first
three quarters of 2005, the economy continued to
grow by 9.4%, supported by both investment and consumption.
Fixed-asset
investment is one of the major driving forces
of the economy. In the first two months of 2004,
fixed assets investment (not including collective
enterprises and individuals) surged by 53%, but
slowed down to 27.6% for the whole year of 2004.
Although the government scaled down the issuance
of construction bonds from RMB140 billion in 2003
to RMB110 billion in 2004, fiscal expansion remains
a contributing factor to China's economic growth.
In 2005, the government has planned to scale down
the issuance of constructiof?n bonds to RMB80 billion.
Growth of fixed assets investment continued to edge
up in 2005 and grew by 29.4% in September, resulting
in an average growth of 27.7% for the first nine
months of 2005.
Retail
sales of consumer goods grew by 13.3% in 2004
as compared with 9.1% in 2003. Growth in retail
consumption was fundamentally supported by government
policies to stimulate consumption which include
provision of consumption credits and lengthened
holidays. Continued growth in disposable income
also contributed to the steady increase in retail
sales. The government is projecting a 12.5% growth
in retail sales for 2005. In the first nine months
of 2005, retail sales increased by 13%. Telecommunications
equipment, garments, sports and recreational articles
continued to show marked growth in sales.
Deflationary
pressure began to be reversed since 2003. Consumer
price index increased by 1.2% in 2003 mainly
due to price rises in food, services items, housing,
fuels and utilities. In 2004, the rapid rise in
food prices contributed to the continued increase
in consumer prices. However, the increase of food
prices slowed from a peak of 14.6% in July to 4.9%
in December. For 2004 as a whole, consumer price
index on average increased by 3.9%. In the first
nine months of 2005, the consumer price index increased
by 2% with food prices increased by 3.3%. While
prices of food, housing, cultural and entertainment
activities increased, the prices of clothing, household
appliances, transport and telecommunications continued
to decline. The government is targeting to contain
inflation within 4% in 2005.
Partly
due to the state-owned enterprise reforms, urban
unemployment rate rose to 4.3% at the end of
2003 and edged down to 4.2% by the end of 2004.
The Chinese government takes various measures like
prof?viding training to displaced workers and promoting
development of the private sector to ease the unemployment
pressure. Urban unemployment rate is targeted to
maintain below 5% in the 10th Five-year Plan period.
In
2004, added-value of industrial output (by
state enterprises and large enterprises with annual
sales exceeding RMB5 million) grew at 16.7%. The
output of heavy industries grew by 18.2% while light
industries increased by 14.7%. The output of foreign
invested companies grew by 18.8%. In the first nine
months of 2005, added-value of industrial output
grew by 16.3%, with foreign invested companies grew
by 16.2% and private enterprises grew by 25.1%.
China's
non-state sector expands rapidly and experiences
healthy development in recent years. The status
and economic contribution of private enterprises
received official recognition in the 9th National
People's Congress held in March 1999. By June 2004,
there were more than 3.3 million private-owned enterprises
(comparing to 1.76 million at end-2000), employing
a total of more than 47 million workers (comparing
to 20 million at end-2000).
Money
supply -?he growth of M2 (broad money supply)
slowed down from 21% in October 2003 to 13.9% in
February 2005 before edging up to 17.9% in September
2005.
Beginning
21 July 2005, China reformed the Renminbi
(RMB) exchange rate regime by moving into a managed
floating exchange rate system with reference to
a basket of currencies, and the exchange rate of
RMB was re-valued to 8.11 per US dollar on 21 July
2005. The daily trading rate of the US dollar against
the RMB is allowed to float within a band of 0.3%
around the central parity published by the People's
Bank of China on each working day.
China's
foreign exchange reserves reached US$769
billion by the end of September 2005, the second
largest after Japan. Foreign debts amounted
to US$266.2 billion at end of June 2005 (up 7.5%
from the end of 2004), of which 46.9% was medium-
or long-term debts and 53.1% was short-term debts.
In
2004, the number of overseas tourists increased
by 18.9% to 109 million with foreign exchange earnings
grew by 47.9% to US$25.7 billion. In Jan-Sep 2005,
the number of overseas tourists grew by 12.2% to
89.6 million, and foreign exchange earning increased
by 18.2% to US$22 billion. According to the World
Tourism Organization, China was the 4th most popular
tourist-destination (behind France, Spain and the
US) in the world in 2004.
Foreign
Trade and Investment
In
2004, China's external trade reached US$1,155
billion, ranked the third in the global economy.
In 2004, exports grew much faster at 35.4% while
imports increased by 36%. In Jan-Sep 2005, exports
continued to grow rapidly by 31.3% while imports
increased by 16%, resulting in a trade surplus of
US$68.3 billion.
Export-processing
trade continued to be the major form of external
trade. In 2004, exports and imports related to processing
trade grew at 35.7% and 36.1% respectively. Export-processing
accountef?d for 55.3% of China's total exports in
2004.
In
2004, exports of machinery, electrical and electronic
products continued to grow rapidly at 43.8% (US$247.8
billion), while other light consumer goods also
showed impressive performance, for example, exports
of garment grew by 19.7%(US$54.8 billion), footwear
up 17.4%(US$15.2 billion). In the first nine months
of 2005, exports of machinery, electrical and electronic
products grew by 30.7% while garments and footwear
increased by 22.4% and 26% respectively.
China's
top ten trading partners were the US, Japan,
Hong Kong, South Korea, Taiwan region, Germany,
Singapore, Malaysia, the Netherlands and Russia.
China's trade with these ten economies together
amounted to US$768 billion, i.e. 66% of China's
total external trade in 2004.
In
2004, exports of foreign-invested enterprises
(FIEs) increased by 40.9% to US$338.6 billion, accounting
for 57% of the national total. For the same period,
FIEs' imports grew by 40% to US$324.6 billion, representing
57.8% of China's total.
Foreign
direct investment (FDI) continued to grow in 2004.
The number of newly approved foreign-invested projects
increased by 6.3% to 43,664, while contracted
and utilized foreign direct investment increased
by 33.4% and 13.3% to US$153.5 billion and US$60.6
billion respectively. In Jan-Sep 2005, contracted
foreign direct investment increased by 21.8% while
utilized foreign direct investment dropped slightly
by 2.1%.
By
the end of 2004, China approved a cumulative of
508,941 foreign investment projects, with contracted
and actual utilized overseas FDI amounting to US$1,096.6
billion and US$562.1 billion. The leading sources
of invf?estment included Hong Kong, Japan, the US,
Taiwan, Singapore and South Korea. China has been
the largest recipient of foreign direct investment
within all developing countries for the seven consecutive
years since 1993.
By
the end of 2004, 5,163 Chinese enterprises (non-financial
sectors) have made FDI in overseas markets, with
the cumulative investment amounted to US$44.8 billion.
In 2004, the amount of FDI made by Chinese enterprises
was US$5.5 billion. Hong Kong is the largest recipient
of capital from Chinese enterprises, accounting
for 68% of the total outward FDI up to 2004. Business
services (mainly investment holdings), wholesale
and retail, mining and manufacturing are the leading
sectors of China's outward FDI.
Trade
and Investment Policies
As
a move to liberalize trade, China has continued
to reduce administrative barriers to trade by increasingly
switching to the use of tariffs and exchange rates
adjustments. As at January 2005, the categories
of import commodities subject to licensing controls
were reduced to 3 (including 83 8-digit product
codes), down from 5 in 2004 and 8 in 2003. The average
tariff rates was further reduced to 9.9% in 2005
from 10.4% in 2004, progressively down from 15.3%
in 2001.
For
exports, beginning from January 2005, the categf?ories
of export products subjected to licensing controls
were cut to 47. In addition, China has introduced
a bidding system for export commodities quota
to manage the exports of 20 categories of commodities.
The
Chinese government has gradually abolished the state
monopoly of foreign trade and liberalize its foreign
trading system. According to the amended Foreign
Trade Law which went into effect from July 2004,
all types of enterprises, including private enterprises,
can register for the trading right. Individual Chinese
are also allowed to conduct foreign trade under
the amended Foreign Trade Law
Starting
from 1 January 2004, China's rates of VAT rebate
for exports are lowered by an average of 3 percentage
points. The new rates of rebates will comprise five
levels, i.e., 5%, 8%, 11%, 13% and 17%. Products
that were previously entitled to 17% rebates include
clothing, electrical appliance and electronic products,
transport vehicles, instruments and meters are lowered
to 13%. Beginning November 2004, the rates of VAT
rebate for certain information technology items,
such as integrated circuits, are raised to 17% from
13%.
In
a bid to encourage overseas investment in the
central and western regions, beginning from
September 1996, local authorities of the central
and western provinces were empowered to give approval
to overseas-funded projects with total investment
capital under US$30 million, up from the previous
amount of US$10 million. Since the Chinese government
started to implement a strategy of developing the
western region in late 1999, more preferential treatments
are extended to foreign investment in inland provinces
and regions. Upon expiration of the preferential
tax polices, foreign-invested enterprises may enjoy
50% reduction of corporate income tax for another
thf?ree years.
On
31 October 2000, the Chinese government officially
amended the Laws on Wholly Foreign-owned Enterprises
and Sino-foreign Cooperative Joint Ventures
to comply with the WTO accession requirements. At
the Fourth Session of the Ninth National People's
Congress, the Chinese government also passed the
amendments to the Law of Sino-foreign Equity
Joint Ventures (EJVs). After the amendments,
foreign enterprises enjoy greater autonomy in sourcing
raw material either in the Chinese Mainland or from
elsewhere and are no longer subject to the domestic
sales ratio restriction. Besides, they are no longer
required to file their production and operation
plans to relevant authorities. Workers and staff
members of EJVs can establish trade union organizations
to carry out activities to safeguard their legal
rights and interests.
As
a WTO member, China has to extend "National Treatment"
to all FIEs. While certain preferential tax treatments
enjoyed by FIEs will be eventually phased out, China
has brought into lines the fees and charges between
domestic enterprises and FIEs. A new version of
the "Catalogue for the Guidance of Foreign Investment
Industries" came into effect on 1 January 2005.
Foreign-invested projects under the categories of
"encouraged" will enjoy tariff-free imports of machinery
and equipment for their own use and the import value-added
tax will also be exempted. The catalogue also reflected
China's WTO commitment by specifying the liberalization
schedule of foreign ownership of different sectors.
In
addition, the central government has also introduced
tariff-free and VAT-exemption imports of
capital equipment for projects within the hi-tech
and priority sectors such as energy, agriculture,
transport, infrastructure, production of raw materials,
and tertiaf?ry industries, as well as in the pillar
industries. These moves are targeted to attract
high-quality overseas investment, introduce high
technologies and know-how to rationalize the country's
industrial structure.
At
the end of 1999, the State Administration of Taxation
and Ministry of Finance jointly issued the "Circular
on Tax Collection Regarding the Implementation of
the Decision Made by the State Council on Strengthening
Technology Innovation and High Technology Development".
According to the circular, equipment imported for
the production of goods listed in the "State Catalogue
of New Technology Products" and supporting technology,
accessories and parts are exempted from customs
duties and VAT on imports. For the import of advanced
technology listed in the "State Catalogue of New
and High Technology Products", software fees payable
outside China are exempted from customs duties and
VAT on imports.
All
foreign-invested export-processing enterprises are
required to pay VAT on imported raw materials, parts
and components. Upon exports, the amount of VAT
paid will be used to offset the VAT payable for
the part of domestic sale goods. Excess will be
rebated ("exemption, deduction and rebate").
Starting
from 1 October 1999, a new export processing
trade management system is implemented. Under
the new system, enterprises engaged in processing
trade are required to pay a deposit when importing
11 major categories of commodities, which are classified
as "restricted products". At the same time, all
enterprises involved in outward processing trade
will be classified into four categories of A, B,
C, and D on the basis of their law-abiding records
and business results. Enterprises classified as
"C" are required to pay a deposit when importing
raw materials, while enterprises classified asf?
"D" will be suspended from outward processing trade
business.
WTO
Commitments
China
officially became a WTO member on 11 December 2001.
Under China's WTO accession agreement, China made
substantial market access commitments covering
the agricultural, industrial and services sectors:
-
Phase-out
of non-tariff barriers on imports - Import license
requirements will be eliminated within five
years of accession, and all quotas will be phased
out within five years of accession.
-
Tariff
cuts - average import tariffs for industrial
products will be lowered from currently 14.8%
to 8.9% by 2005, and average tariff for agricultural
products will be cut to 15% by 2004.
-
Conditions
on foreign investment - The WTO Agreement on
Trade-related Investment Measures (TRIMs) will
be implemented, requirements on trade and foreign-exchange
balance, local content, and export performance
will be ceased or eliminated.
-
Trading
rights - China agrees to provide trading rights
to foreign companies, to be progressively phased
in over three years. Majority ownership in wholesale
joint ventures will be allowed within 2 years
of accession with no geographic or quantitative
restriction by then. There will be no geographic,
quantitative, equity/form of establishment restriction
in retailing within 3 years of accession.
-
Open-up
of other services - China has also agreed to
relax foreign investment restrictions on many
important services industries, including distribution
services, telecommunications, financial services,
professional services. For value-added services
in telecommunications, foreign partners will
be able to own up to 50% with no geographic
restriction within 2 years after accession.
For mobile voice and data services, foreign
operators can own 25% upon accession, and rise
to 35% one year after accession and further
to 49% after 3 years. Foreign banks will be
able to conduct local currency business with
Chinese enterprises 2 years after joining the
WTO, and all geographic and client restrictions
will be removed within 5 years after accession.
For non-life insurance, branch or JVs with 51%
foreign ownership will be allowed upon accession.
Wholly-owned subsidiaries will be allowed in
2 years. For life insurance, JVs with 50% foreign
ownership will be allowed upon accession.
To
ensure the US access to the Chinese market and facilitate
China's WTO membership, the US government, on 10
October 2000, officially passed a bill to grant
the Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) status
to China. That means the US will no longer renew
China's NTR status on an annual basis when China
is a full member of WTO.
Economic
Relations with Hong Kong
The
Chinese mainland and Hong Kong signed the Closer
Economic Partnership Arrangement (CEPA) on 29 June
2003 and the implementation details on 29 September
2003. Under CEPA, the mainland began to apply zero
tariff to 374 import items (based on the 2004-edition
of Mainland tariff codes) of Hong Kong origin from
1 January 2004. Not later than 1 January 2006, the
mainland will apply zero tariff to other import
items of Hong Kong origin. On services sectors,
the mainland began from 1 January 2004 (October
2003 for value-added telecommunication services),
further liberalised (comparing to WTO commitment
or current requirements) 18 services sectors (including
management consulting, convention services, advertising,
accounting services, real estate and construction,
medical and dental, distribution services, logistics,
freight forwarding agency services, storage and
warehousing services, transport services, tourism
services, audiovisual services, legal services,
banking, securities, insurance and value-added telecommunication
services) for Hong Kong companies on entering the
mainland market.
On
27 August 2004, phase 2 of CEPA (CEPA II) was announced.
Perpetuating liberalizaf?tions in the first phase
of CEPA, CEPA II provides zero tariff for 713 additional
Hong Kong origin products, and enlarged market access
for 11 beneficiary service sectors stated in the
first phase of CEPA and 8 new services sectors of
Hong Kong. The 8 new beneficiary service sectors
are patent agency, trade mark agency, airport services,
cultural entertainment, information technology,
job referral agency, job intermediary, and professional
technicians.
On
18 October 2005, phase 3 of CEPA (CEPA III) was
announced. Under CEPA III, the mainland agrees to
give all products of Hong Kong origin tariff free
treatment. Hong Kong and the mainland have agreed
on the rules of origin for 1,369 products. For products
which have no agreed CEPA rules of origin at present,
Hong Kong will initiate discussions with the mainland
twice a year upon requests by local manufacturers.
Regarding trade in services, there are 23 liberalisation
measures under CEPA III, covering ten areas.
Hong
Kong is so far the most important entrepot of
the Chinese Mainland. If re-exports to and from
the Chinese Mainland are included, about 22% of
the Mainland's foreign trade were handled via Hong
Kong. The figure will even be higher if transshipment
of goods to and from the Mainland via Hong Kong
is also included. According to the HKSAR government
statistics, in 2004, 60% of re-exports were of China
origin and 45% were destined for the Chinese mainland.
Hong
Kong is the largest source of overseas direct investment
in the Chinese Mainland. By the end of 2004,
among all the overseas-funded projects registered
in the Chinese Mainland, 47% were tied to Hong Kong
interests. Contracf?ted and utilized capital inflow
from Hong Kong amounted to US$464.7 billion and
US$241.6 billion, accounting for 42.4% and 43% of
the national total.
On
the other hand, Chinese Mainland is one of the
leading sources of inward investment in Hong Kong.
Based on the Hong Kong statistics, the Mainland's
cumulative direct investment in Hong Kong were HK$770.1
billion at end-2003, accounting for 26% of the stock
of inward direct investment. According to market
estimation, there are over 2,000 Mainland-backed
enterprises registered in Hong Kong, with total
asset exceeding US$220 billion. Over 100 Mainland
and state-owned enterprises were listed on the Stock
Exchange of Hong Kong and the Growth Enterprise
Market (GEM).
Hong
Kong's Trade with the Chinese Mainland *
Hong
Kong was the Mainland's third largest trading partner
(after Japan and the US) in the first nine months
of 2005. According to China's Customs Statistics,
bilateral trade between the Mainland and Hong Kong
amounted to US$94.7 billion (9.2% of the Mainland's
total external trade) in Jan-Sep 2005. Of which
exports from the Chinese Mainland to Hong Kong grew
to US$85.6 billion, making Hong Kong the second
largest export market after the US.
The
Mainland has been Hong Kong's largef?st trading
partner since 1985. Share of the Mainland in
Hong Kong's global trade jumped from 9.3% in 1978
to 44.9% in the first nine months of 2005. The Chinese
Mainland was Hong Kong's largest import source accounting
for 44.9% of Hong Kong's total imports, and the
largest export market accounting for 44.9% of Hong
Kong's total exports in the first nine months of
2005.
Hong
Kong's trade with the Chinese Mainland is to a large
extent related to outward processing activities.
More than 80% of Hong Kong manufacturers have established
production facilities in the Mainland, which have
boosted outward processing activities and Hong Kong's
re-export growth. In 2004, 43.5% of Hong Kong's
total exports (of which 65.7% of Hong Kong's domestic
exports and 42.5% of re-exports) to the Chinese
Mainland were related to outward processing activities.
Meanwhile, 72% of Hong Kong's imports from the Mainland
and 79.3% of Hong Kong's re-exports of the Mainland
origin to all countries other than China were related
to outward processing.